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Toward
a Global Open Society by George Soros
LET me start with the obvious. We do live in a global economy.
But it is important to be clear about what we mean by that.
A global economy is characterized not only by the free movement
of goods and services but, more important, by the free movement
of ideas and of capital. This applies to direct investments
and to financial transactions. Though both have been gaining
in importance since the end of the Second World War, the globalization
of financial markets in particular has accelerated in recent
years to the point where movements in exchange rates, interest
rates, and stock prices in various countries are intimately
interconnected. In this respect the character of the financial
markets has changed out of all recognition during the forty
years that I have been involved in them. So the global economy
should really be thought of as the global capitalist system.
Global integration has brought tremendous benefits: the benefits
of the international division of labor, which are so clearly
proved by the theory of comparative advantage; dynamic benefits
such as economies of scale and the rapid spread of innovations
from one country to another, which are less easy to demonstrate
by static equilibrium theory; and such equally important noneconomic
benefits as the freedom of choice associated with the international
movement of goods, capital, and people, and the freedom of
thought associated with the international movement of ideas.
But global capitalism is not without its problems, and we
need to understand these better if we want the system to survive.
The benefits of the present global capitalist system, I believe,
can be sustained only by deliberate and persistent efforts
to correct and contain the system's deficiencies. That is
where I am at loggerheads with laissez-faire ideology, which
contends that free markets are self-sustaining and market
excesses will correct themselves, provided that governments
or regulators don't interfere with the self-correcting mechanism.
Let me group the deficiencies of the global capitalist system
under five main headings: the uneven distribution of benefits,
the instability of the financial system, the incipient threat
of global monopolies and oligopolies, the ambiguous role of
the state, and the question of values and social cohesion.
The categories are of course somewhat arbitrary, and the various
problem areas are interconnected. The benefits of global capitalism
are unevenly distributed. Generally speaking, capital is in
a much better position than labor, because capital is more
mobile. Moreover, financial capital is better situated in
the global system than industrial capital; once a plant has
been built, moving it is difficult. To be sure, multinational
corporations enjoy flexibility in transfer pricing and can
exert pressure at the time they make investment decisions,
but their flexibility doesn't compare to the freedom of choice
enjoyed by international portfolio investors. There is also
an advantage in being at the center of the global economy
rather than at the periphery. All these factors combine to
attract capital to the financial center and account for the
ever increasing size and importance of financial markets.
Financial markets are inherently unstable, and international
financial markets are especially so. International capital
movements are notorious for their boom-bust pattern. During
a boom capital flows from the center to the periphery, but
when confidence is shaken it has a tendency to return to its
source. Instability is not confined to the financial system,
however. The goal of competitors is to prevail, not to preserve
competition in the market. The natural tendency for monopolies
and oligopolies to arise needs to be constrained by regulations.
The process of globalization is too recent for this to have
become a serious issue on a global level, but since we are
dealing with a historical process, in time it will. But whose
job is it to prevent undue concentration of power and to preserve
stability in financial markets? This brings me to the role
of the state. Since the end of the Second World War the state
has played an increasing role in maintaining economic stability,
striving to ensure equality of opportunity, and providing
a social safety net, particularly in the highly industrialized
countries of Europe and North America. But the capacity of
the state to look after the welfare of its citizens has been
severely impaired by the globalization of the capitalist system,
which allows capital to escape taxation much more easily than
labor can. Capital will tend to avoid countries where employment
is heavily taxed or heavily protected, leading to a rise in
unemployment. That is what has happened in continental Europe.
I am not defending the antiquated European social-security
systems, which are badly in need of reform; but I am expressing
concern about the reduction in social provisions both in Europe
and in America. As the international economist Dani Rodrik
has argued, globalization increases the demands on the state
to provide social insurance while reducing its ability to
do so. This carries the seeds of social conflict. If social
services are cut too far while instability is on the rise,
popular resentment could lead to a new wave of protectionism
both in the United States and in Europe, especially if (or
when) the current boom is followed by a bust of some severity.
This could lead to a breakdown in the global capitalist system,
just as it did in the 1930s. With the influence of the state
declining, there is a greater need for international cooperation.
But such cooperation is contrary to the prevailing ideas of
laissez-faire on the one hand and nationalism and fundamentalism
on the other.
The state has played another role in economic development:
in countries deficient in local capital it has allied itself
with local business interests and helped them to accumulate
capital. Although the model has worked, it raises some important
questions about the relationship between capitalism and democracy.
Clearly, an autocratic regime is more favorable to the rapid
accumulation of capital than a democratic one, and a prosperous
country is more favorable to the development of democratic
institutions than a destitute one. So it is reasonable to
envisage a pattern of development that goes from autocracy
and capital accumulation to prosperity and democracy. But
the transition from autocracy to democracy is far from assured:
those who are in positions of power cling tenaciously to their
power. This brings me to the most nebulous problem area, the
question of values and social cohesion. Every society needs
some shared values to hold it together. Market values on their
own cannot serve that purpose, because they reflect only what
one market participant is willing to pay another in a free
exchange. Markets reduce everything, including human beings
(labor) and nature (land), to commodities. We can have a market
economy but we cannot have a market society. In addition to
markets, society needs institutions to serve such social goals
as political freedom and social justice. There are such institutions
in individual countries, but not in the global society. The
development of a global society has lagged behind the growth
of a global economy. Unless the gap is closed, the global
capitalist system will not survive. When I speak of a global
society, I do not mean a global state. States are notoriously
imperfect even at the national level. We need to find new
solutions for a novel situation, although this is not the
first time that a global capitalist system has come into being.
Similar conditions prevailed at the turn of the century. Then
the global capitalist system was held together by the imperial
powers. Eventually, it was destroyed by a conflict between
those powers. But the days of the empires are gone. For the
current global capitalist system to survive, it must satisfy
the needs and aspirations of its participants. Our global
society contains many different customs, traditions, and religions;
where can it find the shared values that would hold it together?
I should like to put forward the idea of what I call the open
society as a universal principle that recognizes the diversity
inherent in our global society, yet provides a conceptual
basis for establishing the institutions we need. I realize
that gaining acceptance for a universal principle is a tall
order, but I cannot see how we can do without it.
WHAT is the open society? Superficially, it is a way to describe
the positive aspects of democracy: the greatest degree of
freedom compatible with social justice. It is characterized
by the rule of law; respect for human rights, minorities,
and minority opinions; the division of power; and a market
economy. The principles of the open society are admirably
put forth in the Declaration of Independence. But the Declaration
states, "We hold these truths to be self-evident," whereas
the principles of the open society are anything but self-evident;
they need to be established by convincing arguments.
There is a strong epistemological argument, elaborated by
Karl Popper, in favor of the open society: Our understanding
is inherently imperfect; the ultimate truth, the perfect design
for society, is beyond our reach. We must therefore content
ourselves with the next best thing -- a form of social organization
that falls short of perfection but holds itself open to improvement.
That is the concept of the open society: a society open to
improvement. The more conditions are changing -- and a global
economy fosters change -- the more important the concept becomes.
But the idea of the open society is not widely accepted. On
the contrary: the epistemological argument has not even been
properly considered, and the idea of a global open society
is often explicitly rejected. There are those, for instance,
who argue that values are different in Asia. Of course they
are different. The global society is characterized by diversity.
But fallibility is a universal human condition; once we acknowledge
it, we have found a common ground for the open society, which
celebrates this diversity. Recognition of our fallibility
is necessary but not sufficient to establish the concept of
the open society. We must combine it with some degree of altruism,
some concern for our fellow human beings based on the principle
of reciprocity.Any variety of Asian, or other, values would
fit into a global open society, provided that some universal
values reflecting our fallibility and our concern for others
-- such as the freedom of expression and the right to a fair
trial -- were also respected. Western democracy is not the
only form that an open society could take. In fact, that the
open society should take a variety of forms follows from the
epistemological argument. This is both the strength and the
weakness of the idea: it provides a conceptual framework that
needs to be filled with specific content. Each society, each
historical period, must decide on the specifics
.As a conceptual framework, the open society is better than
any blueprint, including the concept of perfect competition.
Perfect competition presupposes a kind of knowledge that is
beyond the reach of market participants. It describes an ideal
world that has little resemblance to reality. Markets do not
operate in a vacuum and do not tend toward equilibrium. They
operate in a political setting, and they evolve in a reflexive
fashion.The open society is a more comprehensive framework.
It recognizes the merits of the market mechanism without idealizing
it, but it also recognizes the roles of other than market
values in society. At the same time, it is a much vaguer,
less determinate concept. It cannot define how the economic,
political, social, and other spheres should be separated from
and reconciled with one another. Opinions may differ on where
the dividing line between competition and cooperation should
be drawn. Karl Popper and Friedrich Hayek, two champions of
the open society, parted company over just this point.
Let me summarize my own views on the specific requirements
of our global open society at this moment of history. We have
a global economy that suffers from some deficiencies, the
most glaring of which are the instability of financial markets,
the asymmetry between center and periphery, and the difficulty
in taxing capital. Fortunately, we have some international
institutions to address these issues, but they will have to
be strengthened and perhaps some new ones created. The Basle
Committee on Banking Supervision has established capital-adequacy
requirements for the international banking system, but these
did not prevent the current banking crisis in Southeast Asia.
There is no international regulatory authority for financial
markets, and there is not enough international cooperation
for the taxation of capital.But the real deficiencies are
outside the economic field. The state can no longer play the
role it played previously. In many ways that is a blessing,
but some of the state's functions remain unfulfilled. We do
not have adequate international institutions for the protection
of individual freedoms, human rights, and the environment,
or for the promotion of social justice -- not to mention the
preservation of peace. Most of the institutions we do have
are associations of states, and states usually put their own
interests ahead of the common interest. The United Nations
is constitutionally incapable of fulfilling the promises contained
in the preamble of its charter. Moreover, there is no consensus
on the need for better international institutions.
What is to be done? We need to establish certain standards
of behavior to contain corruption, enforce fair labor practices,
and protect human rights. We have hardly begun to consider
how to go about it Right now the global capitalist system
is vigorously expanding in both scope and intensity. It exerts
a tremendous attraction through the benefits it offers and,
at the same time, it imposes tremendous penalties on those
countries that try to withdraw from it. These conditions will
not prevail indefinitely, but while they do, they offer a
wonderful opportunity to lay the groundwork for a global open
society. With the passage of time the deficiencies are likely
to make their effect felt, and the boom is likely to turn
into a bust. But the ever-looming breakdown can be avoided
if we recognize the flaws in time. What is imperfect can be
improved. For the global capitalist system to survive, it
needs a society that is constantly striving to correct its
deficiencies: a global open society. George George Soros is an investor
and a philanthropist, and the chairman of the Open Society
Institute, an international charitable foundation based in
New York.
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